Fixed Income Strategist
02/03/2026
In our latest Strategas Fixed Income Update, Portfolio Manager and Head of Fixed Income Tom Tzitzouris analyzes Kevin Warsh’s nomination as the next Fed chair and whether it truly signals a hawkish regime shift from prior Feds. Tom unpacks the implications for bond markets—including a likely higher term premium and flatter rate-cut path—and highlights value opportunities in high-quality intermediate maturities and select investment-grade credit. His commentary offers tactical insights for navigating policy uncertainty in fixed income.
Definitions:
Fed balance sheet - The Fed balance sheet is a record of the Federal Reserve’s assets and liabilities, reflecting how much it has injected into or withdrawn from the financial system.
Bond yield - A bond yield is the annualized return an investor receives from holding a bond, usually expressed as a percentage of its current price.
Fed funds rate - The fed funds rate is the interest rate at which banks lend reserve balances to each other overnight, set as a target range by the Federal Reserve.
Treasury curve - The Treasury curve (yield curve) is a graph showing the interest rates of U.S. Treasury securities across different maturities, from short‑term to long‑term.
Curve steepener - A curve steepener is a strategy or market condition where long‑term Treasury yields rise relative to short‑term yields, increasing the slope of the yield curve.
Quantitative Easing - Any action by a central bank to purchase assets in open markets for the explicit purpose of growing the central bank’s balance sheet to increase private sector bank reserves.
This communication was prepared by Strategas (“we,” “us,” or “our”), a brand that offers investment advisory services through Strategas Asset Management, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Adviser, and provides research to institutional investors through Strategas Securities, LLC, a broker-dealer and FINRA member firm and an SEC Registered Investment Adviser. Information regarding market or economic trends, or the factors influencing historical or future performance, reflects the opinions of management as of the date of this communication, and are subject to change. This communication is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, recommendation, nor solicitation to buy or sell any specific security, strategy, or investment product. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but no guarantee of accuracy can be made. This communication is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, recommendation, nor solicitation to buy or sell any specific security, strategy, or investment product. This communication does not constitute, nor should it be regarded as, investment research or a research report or securities recommendation and it does not provide information reasonably sufficient upon which to base an investment decision. This is not a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any company, industry, or security. Additional analysis would be required to make an investment decision. This communication is not based on the investment objectives, strategies, goals, financial circumstances, needs or risk tolerance of any particular client and is not presented as suitable to any other particular client. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Fixed income is generally considered to be a more conservative investment than stocks, but bonds and other fixed income investments still carry a variety of risks such as interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and liquidity risk. In a rising interest rate environment, the value of fixed- income securities generally decline and conversely, in a falling interest rate environment, the value of fixed-income securities generally increases. All investments carry some level of risk, including loss of principal.
Strategas Asset Management, LLC and Strategas Securities, LLC are affiliated with Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated ("Baird"), a broker-dealer and FINRA member firm, and an SEC Registered Investment Adviser, although the firms conduct separate and distinct businesses.
Strategas Fixed Income Update: What’s Next for Bond Markets?
Feb 03 2026