Fixed Income Strategist
03/03/2026
In our latest Strategas Fixed Income Update, Tom Tzitzouris breaks down what the recent attacks on Iran mean for global bond markets. Tom examines past geopolitical precedents, the potential impact on yields and term premium, and how Strategas’ portfolios are positioned amid renewed volatility—favoring quality duration and selective credit exposure as risk premia adjust.
Definitions:
Stagflation – A period in which an economy experiences high inflation, stagnant growth, and elevated unemployment simultaneously.
Barbelling (portfolio construction) – A strategy that allocates investments to both very low‑risk and very high‑risk assets, with little exposure to the middle of the risk spectrum.
Longer duration (yields) – A characteristic of bonds whose prices are more sensitive to changes in interest rates, meaning they rise or fall more when yields move.
Supply shocks – Sudden disruptions in the availability of goods or inputs that cause prices and output levels to change abruptly.
Flight to quality – A market reaction in which investors shift capital from riskier assets into safer ones during periods of uncertainty or stress.
Bond yield - A bond yield is the annualized return an investor receives from holding a bond, usually expressed as a percentage of its current price.
Fed funds rate - The fed funds rate is the interest rate at which banks lend reserve balances to each other overnight, set as a target range by the Federal Reserve.
Treasury curve - The Treasury curve (yield curve) is a graph showing the interest rates of U.S. Treasury securities across different maturities, from short‑term to long‑term.
Curve steepener - A curve steepener is a strategy or market condition where long‑term Treasury yields rise relative to short‑term yields, increasing the slope of the yield curve.
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Strategas Asset Management, LLC and Strategas Securities, LLC are affiliated with Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated ("Baird"), a broker-dealer and FINRA member firm, and an SEC Registered Investment Adviser, although the firms conduct separate and distinct businesses.
Assessing Market Fallout: Bond Market Implications of the Iran Attacks
Mar 03 2026